RECORD FLOWS IN 2007eBook

 

RECORD FLOWS IN 2007

 
 
 
 
 


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RECORD FLOWS IN 2007

 


OVERVIEW RECORD FLOWS IN 2007, BUT SET TO DECLINE


Global FDI flows surpassed the peak of 2000...


After four consecutive years of growth, global FDI inflows rose in 2007 by 30% to reach $1,833 billion, well above the previous all time high set in 2000. Despite the financial and credit crises, which began in the second half of 2007, all the three major economic groupings - developed countries, developing countries and the transition economies of South East Europe and the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) - saw continued growth in their inflows.


The increase in FDI largely reflected relatively high economic growth and strong corporate performance in many parts of the world. Reinvested earnings accounted for about 30% of total FDI inflows as a result of increased profits of foreign affiliates, notably in developing countries. To some extent, the record FDI levels in dollar terms also reflected the significant depreciation of the dollar against other major currencies. However, even measured in local currencies, the average growth rate of global FDI flows was still 23% in 2007.


FDI inflows into developed countries reached $1,248 billion. The United States maintained its position as the largest recipient country, followed by the United Kingdom, France, Canada and the Netherlands. The European Union (EU) was the largest host region, attracting almost two thirds of total FDI inflows into developed countries.


In developing countries FDI inflows reached their highest level ever ($500 billion) - a 21% increase over 2006. The least developed countries (LDCs) attracted $13 billion worth of FDI in 2007 - also a record high. At the same time, developing countries continued to gain in importance as sources of FDI, with outflows rising to a new record level of $253 billion, mainly as a result of outward expansion by Asian TNCs.


FDI inflows into South East Europe and the CIS also surged, increasing by 50%, to reach $86 billion in 2007. The region has thus seen seven years of uninterrupted growth. Outflows from this region similarly soared, to $51 billion, more than twice the 2006 level. Among developing and transition economies, the three largest recipients were China, Hong Kong (China) and the Russian Federation.


...driven by record values of cross border M & As.


Continued consolidation through cross border mergers and acquisitions (M&As) contributed substantially to the global surge in FDI. In 2007, the value of such transactions amounted to $1,637 billion, 21% higher than the previous record in 2000. Thus, overall, the financial crisis, starting with the sub prime mortgage crisis in the United States, did not have a visible dampening effect on global crossborder M&As in 2007.


On the contrary, in the latter half of 2007 some very large deals took place, including the $98 billion acquisition of ABNAMRO Holding NV by the consortium of Royal Bank of Scotland, Fortis and Santander - the largest deal in banking history - and the acquisition of Alcan (Canada) by Rio Tinto (United Kingdom).





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