RECORD FLOWS IN 2007eBook

 

RECORD FLOWS IN 2007

 
 
 
 
 


Overall, prospects for new FDI to the region remain...

 


Overall, prospects for new FDI to the region remain very promising. Sustained economic growth, demographic changes, favourable business sentiments and new investment opportunities were among the main factors contributing to the region's good performance in 2007, and they should continue to attract FDI in the near future.


FDI outflows from South, East and South-East Asia also reached a new high, amounting to $150 billion, reflecting the growing importance of developing countries as outward investors. Intraand inter regional flows are a particularly important feature. But firms are investing in developed countries as well, not least through cross border M&As. SWFs from the region have emerged as significant investors, contributing to the region's rapidly growing outward FDI stock: this jumped from $1.1 trillion in 2006 to $1.6 trillion in 2007.


West Asia also saw record flows in both directions...


FDI in West Asia rose by 12% to $71 billion, marking a new record and a fifth consecutive year of growth. More than four fifths of the inflows were concentrated in three countries: Saudi Arabia, Turkey and the United Arab Emirates, in that order. A growing number of energy and construction projects, as well as a notable improvement in the business environment in 2007, attracted FDI into members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). For example, Qatar experienced a significant rise in inflows – more than seven times higher than in 2006.


FDI outflows from the region in 2007 increased for the fourth consecutive year, to $44 billion nearly six times its level in 2004. The GCC countries (Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Bahrain and Oman, in that order) accounted for 94% of these outflows, reflecting in part their desire to diversify away from oil and gas production through investments by SWFs. Intraregional FDI was significant, particularly from oil rich countries, as confirmed by a growing number of greenfield projects and the increasing value of cross border M&As.


FDI inflows into West Asia are expected to rise in 2008, as countries in the region have remained largely unaffected by the sub prime mortgage crisis, and a significant number of intraregional investment projects are in the pipeline.


... while the surge of FDI into Latin America and the Caribbean was mainly driven by the demand for natural resources.


Latin America and the Caribbean saw inflows rise by 36% to a historic high of $126 billion. The increase was the highest in South America (66%), where most of the $72 billion worth of inflows targeted the extractive industries and natural-resourcebased manufacturing. Inflows to countries in Central America and the Caribbean (excluding offshore financial centres) increased by 30% to $34 billion, despite the economic slowdown in the United States. This resilience was partly explained by the dynamism of FDI in mining, steel and banking, which are not oriented primarily towards the United States market.


FDI outflows from the region fell by 17% to $52 billion, mainly reflecting a return to more "normal" levels of outward investment from Brazil. Latin American TNCs, mainly from Mexico and Brazil, continued to internationalize, competing for leadership in such industries as oil and gas, metal mining, cement, steel, and food and beverages. In addition, many new Latin American companies began emerging in new sectors such as software, petrochemicals and biofuels.


In the extractive industries, in which FDI increased as a result of the high commodity prices, the picture differed between oil and gas and metal mining. In metal mining, the scope for inward FDI is greater, as there are no major State owned companies in the region, except Codelco in Chile. In oil and gas, by contrast, the dominant position, or even exclusive presence, of State owned oil and gas companies limits the opportunities for foreign investors.


This situation was accentuated in 2007, as a number of countries, including Bolivia, the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela and Ecuador, adopted policy changes to increase taxation and further restrict or prohibit foreign investment in oil and gas.





© 2008